Macro Correlations
Macro Strategist specialist
MACRO_CORRELATIONS for EUR/USD ships in Sprint 287 as the forex sibling of the crypto and gold agents. DXY is mechanically the dominant signal — the dollar index construction means a rising DXY is bearish EUR/USD by definition. The forex composite drops both QQQ inputs and adds a 5-session DXY momentum layer instead. Same VIX EXTREME -> STRONG_AVOID direction as crypto (extreme USD safe-haven bid destroys EUR), not inverted like Gold.
What I watch
VIX Regime
DXY-primary macro agent for forex. Rising dollar directly signals EUR/USD weakness. VIX extreme forces STRONG AVOID — USD safe-haven demand destroys EUR during market crises.
DXY Trend
US dollar index 24h trend. The primary signal — DXY direction is mechanically inverse to EUR/USD (40% intra-agent weight).
DXY Momentum
Dollar index 5-session momentum. Trend-confirmation layer on top of the 24h reading. STRONG_RISING confirms multi-day USD strength against EUR.
SPX Momentum
S&P 500 5-session change. Risk-on equities loosely correlate with weaker dollar; risk-off drives safe-haven dollar bid.
Risk Appetite
EUR/USD-specific risk-on / risk-off classification synthesized from VIX, DXY 24h, DXY momentum and SPX.
How this analyst thinks
Example of its reasoning — not a live vote
DXY NEUTRAL within the ±0.5% band, VIX inside the normal range. No dollar crisis or weak-dollar regime — clearance for the technical and session agents to drive the entry. If VIX prints extreme, this agent forces STRONG_AVOID regardless of the other six.
Recent judiciary rulings
rule-based engine- Accumulate15%3m ago
- Accumulate25%8m ago
- Accumulate15%13m ago
- Accumulate15%18m ago
- Accumulate15%23m ago
Council role
The EUR/USD council's macro strategist. DXY-primary (40% intra-agent weight, the heaviest single contribution on this agent across any asset) with a non-negotiable VIX EXTREME veto that mirrors the crypto direction — USD safe-haven flows crush EUR/USD just like they crush crypto.
Councils: EUR/USD (all except Bitcoin are paused)
The full council
See today's full council verdict
Every analyst's vote, the seven safety checks and the final ruling — updated every hour.